This unit covers the meaning and types of index numbers, unweighted and weighted methods of construction (Laspeyres', Paasche's and Fisher's indices), quantity and value indices, the time reversal and factor reversal tests, the cost of living index and real wages. Worked examples follow, and board exam questions are listed at the end by exam year, with marks in brackets.
Index Numbers: Meaning and Types
An index number is a statistical device designed to measure the relative change in the level of a phenomenon with respect to time, geographical location or other characteristics such as income, profession, etc.
Types of index number:
- Price index number
- Quantity index number
- Value index number
Notation
- \(p_0\) = price in the base year; \(p_1\) = price in the current year
- \(q_0\) = quantity in the base year; \(q_1\) = quantity in the current year
- \(P_{01}\) = price index number of the current year '1' with respect to the base year '0'
Methods of Constructing Index Numbers
| Unweighted indices | Weighted indices |
|---|---|
| Simple aggregative index | Weighted aggregative index (Laspeyres', Paasche's, Fisher's) |
| Simple average of price relatives | Weighted average of price relatives |
Unweighted Indices
Simple Aggregative Index
Simple Average of Price Relatives
where \(P = \dfrac{p_1}{p_0} \times 100\) is the price relative of each item and \(n\) is the number of items.
Weighted Indices
Weighted Aggregative Method
Why Fisher's Index Is Called the “Ideal” Index
- It is based on the geometric mean, which is the best average for constructing index numbers.
- It takes into account both current year and base year prices and quantities.
- It satisfies both the time reversal test and the factor reversal test.
- It has no bias in any direction.
Comparison of Laspeyres', Paasche's and Fisher's Indices
| Feature | Laspeyres' | Paasche's | Fisher's |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weight used | Base year quantity \(q_0\) only | Current year quantity \(q_1\) only | Both base year and current year quantities |
| Time reversal test | Not satisfied | Not satisfied | Satisfied |
| Factor reversal test | Not satisfied | Not satisfied | Satisfied |
Weighted Average of Price Relatives
where \(P = \dfrac{p_1}{p_0} \times 100\) is the price relative and \(W = p_0 q_0\) is the weight (base year value).
Quantity and Value Index Numbers
Tests of Consistency of Index Number Formulae
Two tests are used to check the adequacy of an index number formula: the time reversal test and the factor reversal test. The indices are used as ratios (without the factor 100) in both tests.
Time Reversal Test
A formula satisfies the time reversal test if the index for the current year on the base year, multiplied by the index for the base year on the current year, equals 1:
Hence Fisher's index satisfies the time reversal test; Laspeyres' and Paasche's indices do not.
Factor Reversal Test
A formula satisfies the factor reversal test if the price index multiplied by the corresponding quantity index (obtained by interchanging \(p\) and \(q\)) equals the value index:
Hence Fisher's index satisfies the factor reversal test; Laspeyres' and Paasche's indices do not.
Cost of Living Index and Real Wages
The cost of living index (COLI), also called the consumer price index number, can be constructed by two methods.
Aggregate Expenditure Method
Family Budget Method
where \(P = \dfrac{p_1}{p_0} \times 100\) is the price relative, \(W = p_0 q_0\) (or the percentage of expenditure) is the weight, and \(I\) is the group index.
Adjusting Salary to the Cost of Living
If the COLI rises from 100 to a value \(C\), the cost of living has increased by \((C - 100)\)%. To maintain the same standard of living, the salary must increase in the same ratio:
Real Wage and Real Wage Index
Worked Examples
Example 1: Simple Aggregative Price Index
Find the simple aggregative price index for 2021 (base 2020).
| Commodity | A | B | C | D | E | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price in 2020 \((p_0)\) | 10 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 75 |
| Price in 2021 \((p_1)\) | 15 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 97 |
Example 2: Price Index with a Fixed Base Year
Taking 2055 (price Rs. 650) as the base year, each year's index is \(\dfrac{p_t}{650} \times 100\):
| Year | 2052 | 2053 | 2054 | 2055 | 2056 | 2057 | 2058 | 2059 | 2060 | 2061 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price (Rs.) | 500 | 600 | 620 | 650 | 700 | 780 | 820 | 840 | 880 | 900 |
| Index | 76.92 | 92.31 | 95.38 | 100 | 107.69 | 120 | 126.15 | 129.23 | 135.38 | 138.46 |
Example 3: Laspeyres', Paasche's and Fisher's Price Indices
| Commodity | \(p_0\) (2014) | \(q_0\) | \(p_1\) (2015) | \(q_1\) | \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1q_0\) | \(p_0q_1\) | \(p_1q_1\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 10 | 100 | 20 | 120 | 1000 | 2000 | 1200 | 2400 |
| B | 11 | 150 | 25 | 180 | 1650 | 3750 | 1980 | 4500 |
| C | 12 | 180 | 30 | 210 | 2160 | 5400 | 2520 | 6300 |
| D | 14 | 200 | 40 | 250 | 2800 | 8000 | 3500 | 10000 |
| Total | 7610 | 19150 | 9200 | 23200 |
Example 4: Fisher's Index from Prices and Expenditure
Since expenditure = price × quantity, the quantities are found as \(q = \text{expenditure} / \text{price}\).
| Article | \(p_0\) | Exp. \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1\) | Exp. \(p_1q_1\) | \(q_0\) | \(q_1\) | \(p_1q_0\) | \(p_0q_1\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I | 5 | 50 | 4 | 48 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 60 |
| II | 8 | 48 | 7 | 49 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 56 |
| III | 6 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 24 |
| Total | 116 | 117 | 97 | 140 |
Example 5: Fisher's Index Satisfies Both Tests
| Commodity | \(p_0\) | \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1\) | \(p_1q_1\) | \(q_0\) | \(q_1\) | \(p_0q_1\) | \(p_1q_0\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | 4 | 32 | 5 | 50 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 40 |
| X | 5 | 50 | 6 | 72 | 10 | 12 | 60 | 60 |
| Y | 3 | 18 | 4 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 |
| Z | 8 | 40 | 10 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 50 |
| Total | 140 | 190 | 153 | 174 |
Hence Fisher's index satisfies both the time reversal test and the factor reversal test.
Example 6: Testing Laspeyres', Paasche's and Fisher's Indices
Base year prices 2, 4, 1, 5 with expenditure 40, 16, 10, 25; current year prices 5, 8, 2, 10 with expenditure 75, 40, 24, 60 (the same data as the 2083 exam question below).
| Commodity | \(p_0\) | \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1\) | \(p_1q_1\) | \(q_0\) | \(q_1\) | \(p_0q_1\) | \(p_1q_0\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 2 | 40 | 5 | 75 | 20 | 15 | 30 | 100 |
| B | 4 | 16 | 8 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 32 |
| C | 1 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 20 |
| D | 5 | 25 | 10 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 50 |
| Total | 91 | 199 | 92 | 202 |
| Index | \(P_{01} \times P_{10}\) | Time reversal test | \(P_{01} \times Q_{01}\) | Factor reversal test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laspeyres' | \(\frac{202}{91} \times \frac{92}{199} = 1.026\) | Not satisfied | \(\frac{202}{91} \times \frac{92}{91} = 2.244\) | Not satisfied |
| Paasche's | \(\frac{199}{92} \times \frac{91}{202} = 0.974\) | Not satisfied | \(\frac{199}{92} \times \frac{199}{202} = 2.131\) | Not satisfied |
| Fisher's | 1 | Satisfied | \(\frac{199}{91} = 2.187\) | Satisfied |
Example 7: Paasche's versus Fisher's Index
| Commodity | \(p_0\) | \(q_0\) | \(p_1\) | \(q_1\) | \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1q_1\) | \(p_0q_1\) | \(p_1q_0\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 10 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 120 | 100 | 72 |
| B | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 144 | 225 | 180 | 180 |
| C | 15 | 25 | 18 | 30 | 375 | 540 | 450 | 450 |
| D | 20 | 40 | 25 | 40 | 800 | 1000 | 800 | 1000 |
| E | 13 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 221 | 300 | 195 | 340 |
| Total | 1600 | 2185 | 1725 | 2042 |
Paasche's index fails both tests, while Fisher's index satisfies both.
Example 8: Cost of Living Index by the Family Budget Method
| Expenses | Weight \(W\) (%) | \(p_0\) | \(p_1\) | \(P = \frac{p_1}{p_0} \times 100\) | \(PW\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food | 35 | 150 | 174 | 116 | 4060 |
| Rent | 15 | 50 | 60 | 120 | 1800 |
| Clothing | 20 | 100 | 125 | 125 | 2500 |
| Fuel | 10 | 20 | 25 | 125 | 1250 |
| Miscellaneous | 20 | 60 | 90 | 150 | 3000 |
| Total | 100 | 12610 |
The cost of living has increased by 26.10% (126.10 − 100) compared with the base period, so a salary of Rs. 20,000 must rise to Rs. 25,220 to maintain the same standard of living.
Example 9: Cost of Living Index by the Aggregate Expenditure Method
| Product | \(p_0\) (2008) | \(q_0\) | \(p_1\) (2010) | \(q_1\) | \(p_0q_0\) | \(p_1q_1\) | \(p_0q_1\) | \(p_1q_0\) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X | 4 | 50 | 10 | 40 | 200 | 400 | 160 | 500 |
| Y | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 64 | 24 | 80 |
| Z | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
| Total | 240 | 480 | 192 | 600 |
Since both base year and current year prices and quantities are given, Fisher's index is the suitable price index for these data.
The cost of living in 2010 has increased by 150% (250 − 100) compared with 2008, so an income of Rs. 10,000 in 2008 must become Rs. 25,000 in 2010.
Example 10: COLI from Expenditure Shares and Price Relatives
| Item | A | B | C | D | E | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % of expenditure \((W)\) | 25 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 100 |
| Price relative \((P)\) | 125 | 140 | 160 | 130 | 190 | |
| \(PW\) | 3125 | 4900 | 2400 | 1300 | 2850 | 14575 |
The cost of living has increased by 45.75% (145.75 − 100) in the current period compared with the base period.
Example 11: COLI from Group Indices
| Group | Food | Clothing | Light | Rent | Fuel | Misc. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group index \((I)\) | 410 | 450 | 300 | 370 | 200 | 280 | |
| Weight \((W)\) | 40 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 100 |
| \(WI\) | 16400 | 6750 | 2100 | 3700 | 2000 | 5040 | 35990 |
The cost of living has increased by 259.90% (359.90 − 100) in 2003 compared with 1995, so a salary of Rs. 5,000 in 1995 should rise in the same ratio to Rs. 17,995.
Example 12: Real Wages
| Year | Monthly wage (Rs.) | Price index | Real wage \(= \frac{\text{Wage}}{\text{Price index}} \times 100\) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 3600 | 100 | 3600 |
| 1996 | 4000 | 104 | 3846.15 |
| 1997 | 4800 | 115 | 4173.91 |
| 1998 | 5200 | 160 | 3250 |
| 1999 | 5500 | 210 | 2619.05 |
| 2000 | 5900 | 260 | 2269.23 |
The real wage was highest in 1997 and lowest in 2000, even though the money wage rose every year.
Example 13: Real Wage Index
| Year | Wage (Rs.) | Price index | Real wage | Real wage index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 (base) | 180 | 100 | 180 | 100 |
| 2001 | 230 | 170 | 135.29 | 75.16 |
| 2002 | 340 | 300 | 113.33 | 62.96 |
| 2003 | 360 | 320 | 112.50 | 62.50 |
| 2004 | 365 | 330 | 110.61 | 61.45 |
| 2005 | 370 | 340 | 108.82 | 60.46 |
| 2006 | 375 | 350 | 107.14 | 59.52 |
Real wage index = (real wage of the year ÷ 180) × 100.
Example 14: Does the Worker Gain?
A worker earned Rs. 300 when the price index was 100. The index has risen to 200 and the wage to Rs. 500.
The index has increased by 100% (200 − 100), so the wage should increase in the same ratio: required wage = 300 + 100% of 300 = Rs. 600. Since the wage paid (Rs. 500) is less than the required Rs. 600, the worker does not gain.
Important Questions
2078 Exam
-
Find the simple aggregative price index number for the year 2021: [2 marks]
Commodities A B C D E Price in 2020 10 20 18 15 12 Price in 2021 15 22 20 22 18 -
The following table gives the changes in the price and the consumption (quantity) of certain major constituents of the consumption basket of the labour class. [10 marks]
Commodity Unit 2020 Price 2020 Qty 2021 Price 2021 Qty Wheat Quintals 1000 10 1100 6 Rice Quintals 1500 15 1700 18 Cloth Metres 50 50 40 30
2079 Exam
-
Find the simple aggregative price index number for the year 2021 from the following information. [2 marks]
Commodities A B C D E F Price in 2020 (Rs.) 160 140 150 130 155 120 Price in 2021 (Rs.) 170 135 155 140 150 30
2080 Exam
-
Find the simple aggregative price index number from the following data of 2015, taking 2014 as the base year, when current year quantity is taken as weight. [2 marks]
Commodities Price in 2014 Price in 2015 A 5 8 B 4 6 C 10 12 D 7 5 -
An inquiry into the budget of middle class families in a certain city gave the following information: [10 marks]
Expenses Food Fuel Clothing Rent Miscellaneous Weight 35% 10% 20% 15% 20% Price in 2015 145 23 65 30 40 Price in 2016 150 25 75 30 45 What is the cost of living index number of 2016 as compared with that of 2015? If an employee's salary of Rs. 20,000 per month is raised to Rs. 21,000 in 2016, is it adequate? If not, what should be the increment in salary in 2016?
2081 Exam
-
Find the simple aggregative price index number from the following data: [2 marks]
Commodities A B C D Price in 2022 45 58 35 20 Price in 2023 55 50 32 28 -
The following table gives the changes in the price (in Rs.) and the quantity (units) of certain commodities: [10 marks]
Commodity 2022 Price 2022 Quantity 2023 Price 2023 Quantity A 1200 15 1500 17 B 1700 20 1800 16 C 500 50 400 60 D 100 25 120 30 Calculate the price index number according to (a) Laspeyres' formula, (b) Paasche's formula, (c) Fisher's ideal formula.
-
(a) Solve the following linear programming problem graphically: [10 marks]
$$\begin{aligned} \text{Maximize } Z &= 4x + 3y \\ \text{subject to } 2x + y &\le 10 \\ x + y &\le 6 \\ x,\ y &\ge 0 \end{aligned}$$(b) The following table is the conditional payoff table:
Strategy State A State B State C State D \(S_1\) 200 210 240 220 \(S_2\) 180 220 220 210 \(S_3\) 270 200 340 280 \(S_4\) 260 180 300 120 \(S_5\) 250 190 240 200 Provide a decision according to (i) maximax criterion, (ii) maximin criterion, (iii) minimax regret criterion.
2082 Exam
-
Find the simple aggregative price index number for the year 2023 from the following information: [2 marks]
Commodities A B C D E Price in 2022 15 25 23 25 17 Price in 2023 18 27 25 28 20 -
The following table gives the changes in price and quantity of the consumption basket of the labour class. [10 marks]
Commodity 2022 2023 Price Quantity Price Quantity A 1200 10 1500 11 B 1700 12 1800 18 C 500 50 700 60 D 300 40 500 50 Calculate the cost of living index. If the average labour wage was Rs. 24,000 per month in 2022, what should be the average wage per worker per month in 2023 so that the standard of living of the workers does not fall below the 2022 level?
2083 Exam
-
Calculate the price index number of a group of four commodities by using (a) Laspeyres' formula, (b) Fisher's formula and (c) Paasche's formula: [15 marks]
Commodity Base year Current year Price/unit Expenditure Price/unit Expenditure A 2 40 5 75 B 4 16 8 40 C 1 10 2 24 D 5 25 10 60 Also examine whether the time reversal test and the factor reversal test are satisfied by Fisher's index number.